CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a9cfafd40bce2b311fec280eec38a70fe1dcf65d43496e1d6c0f08200fe38c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Liquid, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,514
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,514 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2529…548abacked Sashi Esport | 43c | 2,522$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.25 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sashi Esport | 44c | 1,826$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.38 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Liquid | 59c | 1,492$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.13 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Liquid | 61c | 1,486$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.03 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Liquid | 74c | 1,110$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.28 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Liquid | 31c | 1,055$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.4 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Liquid | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 45c | 293.91$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Sashi Esport | 49c | 283.27$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.01 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 227.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 225$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Sashi Esport | 39c | 220$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liquid | 53c | 196.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Liquid | 68c | 194.54$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Sashi Esport | 28c | 189.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Sashi Esport | 36c | 176.26$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Sashi Esport | 57c | 148.13$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Liquid | 62c | 143.46$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Liquid | 74c | 132.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Sashi Esport | 40c | 119.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.72 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Liquid | 76c | 117.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Sashi Esport | 38c | 116.66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked Sashi Esport | 47c | 100.54$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed Liquid | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 97.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Sashi Esport | 49c | 97.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Sashi Esport | 41c | 96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.64 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Liquid | 51c | 95.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Liquid | 13c | 78.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Liquid | 69c | 78.51$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed Sashi Esport | 42c | 75.45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sashi Esport | 44c | 63.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2e91backed Sashi Esport | 64c | 60.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7f…6e16backed Liquid | 60c | 60.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Sashi Esport | 40c | 53.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Sashi Esport | 48c | 50.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 50.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 44.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Liquid | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Liquid | 32c | 32.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Sashi Esport | 43c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Sashi Esport | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…c542backed Liquid | 58c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Liquid | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Liquid | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.