CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d84c8f012dee706c43d3c2bba39c0a5491ec8398e63af217e3fcb106f593e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sashi Esportof Liquid, Sashi Esport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 2,591$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.08 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Liquid | 64c | 2,192$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.09 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 71c | 2,047$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.85 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sashi Esport | 33c | 1,900$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.97 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Sashi Esport | 80c | 1,208$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.7 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Sashi Esport | 33c | 900$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Liquid | 67c | 882.18$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.06 | 298 | 51.3%153 W · 145 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Sashi Esport | 29c | 821.55$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.3 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Sashi Esport | 68c | 786.34$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.59 | 449 | 57.5%258 W · 191 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Liquid | 52c | 762.59$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.32 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid | 55c | 761.22$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.78 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liquid | 58c | 554.86$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Liquid | 20c | 520.01$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Liquid | 26c | 467.55$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Sashi Esport | 34c | 428.7$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…c4adbacked Liquid | 36c | 326.95$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Liquid | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Sashi Esport | 46c | 272.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.32 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Liquid | 31c | 247.85$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed Liquid | 28c | 230$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked Liquid | 35c | 157.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 187 | 36.9%69 W · 118 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Sashi Esport | 45c | 149.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…fed3backed Liquid | 76c | 141.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Sashi Esport | 68c | 116.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Liquid | 67c | 116.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Liquid | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Liquid | 29c | 95.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Liquid | 74c | 85.86$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Liquid | 55c | 78.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…7464backed Sashi Esport | 65c | 75.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Liquid | 20c | 71.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…5bbfbacked Liquid | 31c | 64.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Liquid | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Liquid | 35c | 50.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed Liquid | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed Sashi Esport | 39c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 321 | 38.3%123 W · 198 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Liquid | 58c | 48.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…7cb7backed Liquid | 73c | 40.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Liquid | 47c | 36.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 33.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Sashi Esport | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Liquid | 74c | 28.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed Sashi Esport | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN PlayoffsSashi Esport won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Sashi Esport - Map 2 WinnerSashi Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.