Lol · resolved market
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Berlin International Gaming (BO1) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4adef8b97d7d227e40a537715a7f44f4f1e3c429b7382e2e83634d494f9f1e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berlin International Gamingof ROSSMANN Centaurs, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 0c | 3,132$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.99 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Berlin International Gaming | 62c | 638.95$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…608dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 38c | 628.95$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…edf4backed Berlin International Gaming | 68c | 611.72$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 64c | 416.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 406.1$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.26 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 32c | 399.72$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.91 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb901…a37dbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 31c | 235.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Berlin International Gaming | 68c | 191.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 536 | 49.8%267 W · 269 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Berlin International Gaming | 62c | 189.58$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.04 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 38c | 179.26$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Berlin International Gaming | 67c | 135.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5f…e63cbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Berlin International Gaming | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 68c | 46.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 323 | 45.8%148 W · 175 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…a946backed Berlin International Gaming | 67c | 44.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed ROSSMANN Centaurs | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Berlin International Gaming | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Berlin International Gaming | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Berlin International Gaming | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.