Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b0a526493ded34ae6102ae4a5c8a7ca9b24f5187b3e605f15a46f87a0bc25e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bulldog Esportsof Bulldog Esports, LEO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3bc…46f8backed LEO | 25c | 754.96$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 273 | 40.7%111 W · 162 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f4…1cb2backed Bulldog Esports | 78c | 505.54$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed LEO | 24c | 388.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 306 | 21.2%65 W · 241 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…f885backed LEO | 15c | 358.27$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked LEO | 7c | 285.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Bulldog Esports | 80c | 214.42$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed LEO | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Bulldog Esports | 77c | 124.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.04 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bulldog Esports | 76c | 116.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked LEO | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Bulldog Esports | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bulldog Esports | 76c | 48.45$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bulldog Esports | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bulldog Esports | 76c | 38.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked LEO | 27c | 36.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Bulldog Esports | 70c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…824cbacked Bulldog Esports | 72c | 17.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Bulldog Esports | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO (BO3) - NLC Regular SeasonBulldog Esports won
- LoL: Bulldog Esports vs LEO - Game 2 WinnerBulldog Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.