Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b1f1e5bab971763f39bd3b8cd8726922a0bca73ef540842cdef1616fbe8f1bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese State Cowboysof McNeese State Cowboys, Northwestern State Demons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,417
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,417 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Northwestern State Demons | 10c | 6,570$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.96 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 8c | 1,164$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.1 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 10c | 520$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Northwestern State Demons | 10c | 353.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Northwestern State Demons | 4c | 255.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 249.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Northwestern State Demons | 12c | 235.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Northwestern State Demons | 10c | 209.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Northwestern State Demons | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 19.2%14 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 109.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Northwestern State Demons | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Northwestern State Demons | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demonsthis page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demons: O/U 137.5Over won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Northwestern State Demons: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-13.5)Northwestern State Demons won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-14.5)Northwestern State Demons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.