Ligue 1 · resolved market
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b42e6c270e66f6f3d0c9a2f19a673169ef4e51bfe298a75c12f41ee5c401d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,162$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.37 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 53c | 858.74$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 529.23$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.79 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 58c | 430.17$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.17 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 41c | 387.49$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.84 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 41c | 282.01$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Yes | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 5cpaid | +1,407.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 5cpaid | +1,909.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +653.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed No | 6c | 249.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 4cpaid | +1,407.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 60c | 213.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 40c | 106.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 52c | 51.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 30.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-1.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
- Spread: Toulouse FC (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.