Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas vs. Mississippi State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bd5253160c3fa3367c3a9b4b6661c21db72911097e6058d9d230e402a53333e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texasof Texas, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas | 16c | 579$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.29 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d4…cf9ebacked Texas | 21c | 211$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +158.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mississippi State | 55c | 203$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6559…6e46backed Mississippi State | 71c | 192$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…7b97backed Texas | 25c | 161$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +168%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa119…4674backed Mississippi State | 75c | 111$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…ca2fbacked Mississippi State | 76c | 105$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe89…edafbacked Texas | 26c | 84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc586…036cbacked Mississippi State | 79c | 83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 56cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…90c6backed Texas | 25c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…25acbacked Texas | 24c | 72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…6bb8backed Texas | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afc…5c44backed Texas | 29c | 71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…74b0backed Texas | 23c | 71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55cf…6533backed Texas | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 40cpaid | +172.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ca…a817backed Texas | 29c | 66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd1…bc8dbacked Texas | 19c | 65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +70%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…1e4bbacked Mississippi State | 79c | 63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f1…fbffbacked Texas | 26c | 62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…2cbbbacked Texas | 24c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Mississippi State | 47c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…b526backed Texas | 29c | 52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mississippi State | 73c | 51.15$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Texas | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…a5a1backed Mississippi State | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…db69backed Texas | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…f387backed Mississippi State | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Mississippi State | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321f…18a7backed Texas | 23c | 45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bef…64aebacked Texas | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…8620backed Mississippi State | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a90…7228backed Mississippi State | 74c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…94c0backed Mississippi State | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8700…00afbacked Texas | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…b441backed Mississippi State | 77c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…89f6backed Texas | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…47b3backed Mississippi State | 76c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf07…65efbacked Mississippi State | 74c | 26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…b042backed Mississippi State | 80c | 24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…5037backed Mississippi State | 74c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…a5fabacked Mississippi State | 71c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Mississippi State | 72c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5772…539cbacked Mississippi State | 77c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…18c7backed Mississippi State | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb351…cb4bbacked Mississippi State | 79c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x290a…6902backed Mississippi State | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…5b3bbacked Mississippi State | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…2c37backed Mississippi State | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.67per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2627…e556backed Mississippi State | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…0107backed Mississippi State | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf02…48a9backed Mississippi State | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a5…7307backed Mississippi State | 75c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcba…8a9fbacked Mississippi State | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4458…6b38backed Mississippi State | 77c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…531cbacked Mississippi State | 75c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b37…ccd2backed Mississippi State | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…5f39backed Mississippi State | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013c…7caebacked Mississippi State | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af2…d3aabacked Mississippi State | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x211c…ea80backed Mississippi State | 74c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…28d8backed Mississippi State | 79c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…c71bbacked Mississippi State | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…e5d8backed Mississippi State | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x636d…472ebacked Mississippi State | 75c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81f…997fbacked Mississippi State | 74c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…cc97backed Mississippi State | 74c | 16.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…2805backed Mississippi State | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cb…4d5abacked Mississippi State | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…a9e5backed Mississippi State | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.