CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bedddcc70f1695286232ed944489feac1f0adc4826edc5a6d97304d63eaacd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of FURIA, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,335
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75b5…d3debacked FURIA | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked FURIA | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked G2 | 57c | 1,710$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.1 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked G2 | 37c | 1,350$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.49 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked G2 | 56c | 1,224$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.43 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 | 47c | 1,205$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.65 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed FURIA | 63c | 1,181$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.19 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked FURIA | 54c | 1,071$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.39 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked FURIA | 55c | 907.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FURIA | 32c | 793.54$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed G2 | 46c | 777.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.86 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed G2 | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed G2 | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed G2 | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked G2 | 47c | 499.99$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.99 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed G2 | 61c | 490.58$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.58 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…2501backed G2 | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed FURIA | 17c | 344.28$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.97 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed G2 | 47c | 318.66$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.66 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed G2 | 54c | 310$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked FURIA | 53c | 303.39$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.8 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 59c | 299$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…9766backed FURIA | 69c | 265.88$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.23 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed G2 | 48c | 243.77$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed FURIA | 53c | 241.62$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed FURIA | 58c | 226.86$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed FURIA | 52c | 220$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed FURIA | 21c | 207.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed FURIA | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked FURIA | 53c | 195$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed FURIA | 33c | 192.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 92 | 15.2%14 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed FURIA | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed G2 | 49c | 151.02$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed FURIA | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked FURIA | 68c | 123.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FURIA | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked G2 | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f2…da0ebacked FURIA | 60c | 99.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.97 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -7.4wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked G2 | 47c | 95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed FURIA | 30c | 93.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 57c | 90.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked FURIA | 46c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed FURIA | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked G2 | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FURIA | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…22dabacked G2 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed FURIA | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed FURIA | 47c | 39.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed FURIA | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed FURIA | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed G2 | 47c | 34.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked G2 | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked FURIA | 46c | 29.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked FURIA | 53c | 22.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed FURIA | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed G2 | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 283 | 46.6%132 W · 151 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked FURIA | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.