CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c069a816487d1899b8e9fa89b9c326fc0f3ec320ce40698ec4a57a581d9e158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Leo Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Leo Team | 22c | 4,500$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.03 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 79c | 2,798$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.28 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Leo Team | 1c | 2,556$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BIG | 74c | 1,800$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Leo Team | 25c | 806.87$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed BIG | 74c | 530.19$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.85 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Leo Team | 26c | 499.8$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a0…f9d1backed Leo Team | 19c | 257.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Leo Team | 22c | 254.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.3 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Leo Team | 16c | 236.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed BIG | 77c | 195.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BIG | 74c | 181$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.16 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed BIG | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…a7edbacked BIG | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Leo Team | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed BIG | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked BIG | 74c | 66.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked Leo Team | 29c | 63.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecd…1da3backed Leo Team | 26c | 58.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Leo Team | 25c | 57.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked BIG | 76c | 50.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Leo Team | 22c | 49.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed BIG | 79c | 44.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed BIG | 74c | 42.21$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 77cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BIG | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked BIG | 76c | 36.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BIG | 74c | 24.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb4…0c99backed BIG | 80c | 19.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed BIG | 74c | 17.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed BIG | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Leo Team - Map 1 WinnerBIG won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)BIG won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.