Ligue 1 · resolved market
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0b907e4d9e8639bc648a1bdb6b9bc13e27f791033533fdcb8c6acf72ff079c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba3…56aebacked Yes | 1c | 12,120$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,195$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.14 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 1,095$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.63 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 50c | 710.63$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.4 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 51c | 549.22$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 51c | 305$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 75c | 275$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 236.86$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.84 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Yes | 52c | 192.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 46c | 134.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 263 | 46.4%122 W · 141 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8f…d0e4backed Yes | 26c | 113.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…eae8backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed No | 52c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed No | 50c | 60.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Yes | 26c | 48.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 48c | 36.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 41c | 26.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a7edbacked Yes | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked No | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed No | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.