CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0d5e7da9765ab3af53bfe171209fcbaed828789825514351062c163945dcc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Hashiras, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x527d…3d71backed NEW VISION | 47c | 2,600$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 53c | 2,516$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.74 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a05…cd14backed NEW VISION | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed NEW VISION | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed NEW VISION | 52c | 1,332$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.08 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed NEW VISION | 5c | 1,130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.9 | 424 | 27.1%115 W · 309 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NEW VISION | 40c | 577.06$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed Hashiras | 74c | 534.53$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.53 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed NEW VISION | 9c | 504.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed NEW VISION | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed NEW VISION | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed NEW VISION | 61c | 429.86$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Hashiras | 53c | 425.94$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.22 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Hashiras | 49c | 414.55$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.42 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 50c | 407.11$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Hashiras | 45c | 402.25$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed NEW VISION | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NEW VISION | 23c | 397.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Hashiras | 44c | 358.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.04 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…17aabacked NEW VISION | 43c | 358.47$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed NEW VISION | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed NEW VISION | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 145 | 45.5%66 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Hashiras | 64c | 259.84$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed NEW VISION | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked NEW VISION | 12c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NEW VISION | 21c | 165$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Hashiras | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed NEW VISION | 58c | 108$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb969…1d37backed NEW VISION | 56c | 106.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…3f67backed NEW VISION | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Hashiras | 59c | 96$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NEW VISION | 38c | 83.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…deffbacked NEW VISION | 30c | 79.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed NEW VISION | 57c | 69.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 211 | 37.4%79 W · 132 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed NEW VISION | 44c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed NEW VISION | 25c | 41.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked NEW VISION | 29c | 38.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hashiras | 69c | 35.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb213…49e1backed Hashiras | 76c | 32.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked NEW VISION | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked Hashiras | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 2 WinnerNEW VISION won
- Map Handicap: Hashiras (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.