CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7302282b626a60858f3335a8a1b500f66d8b1c528e85813ab3891a21c1df41a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NEW VISIONof Hashiras, NEW VISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa97d…e699backed Hashiras | 1c | 3,939$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Hashiras | 37c | 2,317$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f27…4fb3backed NEW VISION | 50c | 1,908$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NEW VISION | 65c | 938.95$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.6 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…6f5fbacked NEW VISION | 72c | 728.65$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 47c | 554.33$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Hashiras | 44c | 367.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.21 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Hashiras | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Hashiras | 40c | 290$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 244 | 47.1%115 W · 129 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Hashiras | 26c | 242.52$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Hashiras | 52c | 212.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.26 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Hashiras | 48c | 207.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…be00backed Hashiras | 48c | 166.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 22c | 159.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NEW VISION | 56c | 112$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed NEW VISION | 78c | 110$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NEW VISION | 59c | 108.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6513…7f56backed NEW VISION | 77c | 108.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…2ea7backed Hashiras | 17c | 91.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8238…7fe1backed NEW VISION | 76c | 67.53$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NEW VISION | 65c | 64.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Hashiras | 44c | 63.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Hashiras | 21c | 56.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Hashiras | 51c | 44.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…8addbacked NEW VISION | 73c | 29.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…355fbacked NEW VISION | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a4…3f67backed NEW VISION | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series PlayoffsNEW VISION won
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs NEW VISION - Map 1 WinnerHashiras won
- Map Handicap: Hashiras (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5)NEW VISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.