CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c91830eb8cfb94ad36bca70af3c0f66c5f4a9b03b079e0d98c8eab21bccf9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MAGICOSof BESTIA Academy, MAGICOS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BESTIA Academy | 58c | 2,839$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.89 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked BESTIA Academy | 60c | 1,417$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.84 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed BESTIA Academy | 40c | 1,373$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.27 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MAGICOS | 41c | 1,359$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.36 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed MAGICOS | 51c | 1,324$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.93 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked MAGICOS | 48c | 1,045$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.99 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MAGICOS | 55c | 1,026$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MAGICOS | 45c | 723.99$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.98 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed BESTIA Academy | 59c | 579.48$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.83 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed BESTIA Academy | 62c | 563.5$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.8 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed MAGICOS | 39c | 431.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.22 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed MAGICOS | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MAGICOS | 40c | 339.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MAGICOS | 60c | 328.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.58 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed BESTIA Academy | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed MAGICOS | 37c | 231.68$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.96 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed MAGICOS | 40c | 200$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked BESTIA Academy | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.2 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked MAGICOS | 45c | 176$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MAGICOS | 44c | 156.62$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.71 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed MAGICOS | 41c | 135$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked BESTIA Academy | 56c | 104.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked MAGICOS | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196e…9277backed BESTIA Academy | 39c | 67.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MAGICOS | 42c | 67.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked BESTIA Academy | 57c | 66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…158abacked MAGICOS | 66c | 64.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed MAGICOS | 42c | 62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.66 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…1129backed BESTIA Academy | 29c | 55.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA Academy | 56c | 51.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked BESTIA Academy | 56c | 47.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked MAGICOS | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 39.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed MAGICOS | 43c | 31.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked BESTIA Academy | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 48cpaid | -79%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed MAGICOS | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked BESTIA Academy | 59c | 17.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: BST.A (-1.5) vs MAGICOS (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageBESTIA Academy won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 1 WinnerMAGICOS won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.