Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UT Arlington Mavericks vs. Weber State Wildcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ca826c1bd21b54c190d64aaa22545cc5c095e5d99bb76a985b81cbed36904b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UT Arlington Mavericksof UT Arlington Mavericks, Weber State Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 62c | 1,284$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Weber State Wildcats | 40c | 930$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 38c | 372$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Weber State Wildcats | 60c | 108.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 40c | 101.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Weber State Wildcats | 58c | 97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.26 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 41c | 77.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Weber State Wildcats | 64c | 38.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 41c | 35.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.89 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Weber State Wildcats | 59c | 35.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed Weber State Wildcats | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Weber State Wildcats | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked UT Arlington Mavericks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed UT Arlington Mavericks | 42c | 26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Weber State Wildcats | 46c | 25.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Weber State Wildcats | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.