La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cae3b6777b0d68c3c5000d9260a7c332bc52d45097c075e79aa96dd2e7f0510
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albacete Balompiéof Albacete Balompié, Real Sociedad de Fútbol B
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 72c | 3,000$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Albacete Balompié | 28c | 2,155$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.42 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Albacete Balompié | 27c | 941.44$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.67 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 18c | 605$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Albacete Balompié | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 62c | 103.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 73c | 96.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 78c | 50.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 32c | 44.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 68c | 39.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Albacete Balompié | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 68c | 25.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Real Sociedad de Fútbol B | 68c | 15.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.