La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c953c210c17e55b83fe7ce919753423900a489cc5b132bba26b1fb8b0fb7250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 2,380$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.41 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,690$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.51 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 1,288$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 841 | 44.8%377 W · 464 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 1,258$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.8 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 57c | 943.51$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.71 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 58c | 488.16$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.93 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 58c | 343.22$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.15 | 757 | 51%386 W · 371 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 57c | 325.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.08 | 700 | 50.6%354 W · 346 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 303.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 61c | 290$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 68c | 221$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 42c | 203.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 693 | 50.2%348 W · 345 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Over | 59c | 161.29$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Under | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 58c | 125$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 57c | 105.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 52c | 100.67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 43c | 40.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 39.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 41c | 35.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 34.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 176 | 63.1%111 W · 65 L | +32.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 63c | 26.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 43c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Over | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 0.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 3.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 4.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)Albacete Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.