CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cdb588d3db566caf8e4c627452fc1cda5cede046eb9adefcbc1a1266a3732db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, NRG
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed NRG | 30c | 37,213$11,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,170.97 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 30,741$21,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,118.23 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed NRG | 25c | 5,900$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.28 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed GamerLegion | 70c | 3,614$2,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.14 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked GamerLegion | 71c | 1,719$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.51 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked GamerLegion | 72c | 1,582$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.89 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NRG | 26c | 1,508$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.48 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked NRG | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 900$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked GamerLegion | 67c | 776.98$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.4 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 738.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.89 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked GamerLegion | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked NRG | 31c | 581.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked GamerLegion | 76c | 461.91$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked NRG | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed GamerLegion | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…f7fbbacked NRG | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed NRG | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696f…6f29backed GamerLegion | 70c | 153.32$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked GamerLegion | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.65 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed NRG | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked GamerLegion | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d0…a970backed GamerLegion | 73c | 89.67$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.21 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed GamerLegion | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed NRG | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed GamerLegion | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed NRG | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 207 | 44.4%92 W · 115 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked GamerLegion | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed GamerLegion | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 112 | 69.6%78 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.