Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Binghamton Bearcats vs. Maine Black Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d1ab4279cad7e383f8130ae0e60e11129fc530bb3cd25ea2ca4b70efb6c05ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maine Black Bearsof Binghamton Bearcats, Maine Black Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Maine Black Bears | 75c | 1,569$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.76 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 23c | 1,415$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.61 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Maine Black Bears | 75c | 1,244$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.43 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Maine Black Bears | 69c | 900$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 33c | 859.9$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 31c | 625.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.91 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Maine Black Bears | 66c | 178.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 175.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Maine Black Bears | 80c | 161.81$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Binghamton Bearcats | 27c | 159.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 139.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maine Black Bears | 69c | 92.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Binghamton Bearcats | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…47afbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Binghamton Bearcats | 31c | 44.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Maine Black Bears | 67c | 41.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Binghamton Bearcats | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f98…e49abacked Maine Black Bears | 78c | 30.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.