Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d652757f65c3c4ce492409782cb91f34b5cb283a55892d0e28a953bd1944b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,889
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 14,210$9,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,158.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 37c | 9,002$3,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,370.74 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Over | 27c | 3,595$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.92 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 40c | 1,980$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 73c | 1,524$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.9 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 73c | 1,397$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.18 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 30c | 1,248$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.29 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 1,178$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.76 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 804.23$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 60c | 375.31$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 58c | 348$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…d270backed Over | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 158.45$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 22c | 145.45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 31c | 97.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 50c | 80.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 63c | 71.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 55.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Under | 62c | 46.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed Under | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 65c | 26.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 62c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kocaelispor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Kocaelispor won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Kocaelispor (-2.5)Beşiktaş JK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.