Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs David Jorda Sanchis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d89ca34221f9023cf17596143ae88d435ce76ec375c766b738c1f5f9e2c4502
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pablo Llamas Ruizof Pablo Llamas Ruiz, David Jorda Sanchis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,712 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed David Jorda Sanchis | 3c | 7,198$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked David Jorda Sanchis | 16c | 1,448$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.99 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed David Jorda Sanchis | 8c | 1,391$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.04 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 21c | 1,165$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.6 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed David Jorda Sanchis | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked David Jorda Sanchis | 6c | 999.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 648.21$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed David Jorda Sanchis | 8c | 595.9$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed David Jorda Sanchis | 11c | 403.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 20c | 273.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked David Jorda Sanchis | 8c | 216.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed David Jorda Sanchis | 10c | 139.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 119.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed David Jorda Sanchis | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…de42backed David Jorda Sanchis | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed David Jorda Sanchis | 20c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed David Jorda Sanchis | 20c | 53.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Pablo Llamas Ruiz | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.