South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d942c9cc02acc99fbfbe80fdd3cd328ffad302e31da38db7f11ccc9fcc23d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 78c | 1,494$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.85 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 1,408$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 1,164$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.84 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 1,054$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 763.3$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.99 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 755.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.9 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 533$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 345$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d94…40e6backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe220…f862backed Yes | 55c | 299.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…e1babacked Yes | 11c | 239.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 38c | 153$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed No | 44c | 108.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 57c | 100.88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…30a0backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 19c | 78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…932abacked Yes | 56c | 44.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 44c | 42.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 78c | 36.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c48…0897backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…eea2backed Yes | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 44c | 26.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1383…b233backed Yes | 58c | 20.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Unión win on 2025-11-24?this page
- Will CA Unión vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.