Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. Kansas City Roos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d98aaeb192963c1c4d9667b4e53be40757cddfaeb9f13662574a99079d4e62d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof Omaha Mavericks, Kansas City Roos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Kansas City Roos | 37c | 301.72$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Omaha Mavericks | 63c | 225.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.62 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Omaha Mavericks | 65c | 194$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Omaha Mavericks | 66c | 183.75$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Kansas City Roos | 34c | 179.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Kansas City Roos | 35c | 161$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Omaha Mavericks | 63c | 156.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Omaha Mavericks | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Roos | 35c | 93.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked Omaha Mavericks | 66c | 91.86$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Roos | 32c | 91.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Roos | 15c | 74.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Kansas City Roos | 32c | 71.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed Omaha Mavericks | 64c | 59.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Kansas City Roos | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Kansas City Roos | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Roos | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Omaha Mavericks | 67c | 44.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Kansas City Roos | 37c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Kansas City Roos | 37c | 31.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Omaha Mavericks | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Kansas City Roosthis page
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Kansas City Roos: O/U 149.5Under won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-4.5)Omaha Mavericks won
- Spread: Omaha Mavericks (-5.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.