CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e678611a49434ad6c870a331de5c9f600c60154887530131accacbf20b254ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof Oxuji Esports, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,744
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5005…f1b3backed Lavked | 64c | 645.74$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…2aa9backed Oxuji Esports | 35c | 634.26$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe163…9d33backed Lavked | 64c | 616.39$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.49 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a1…790dbacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 605.43$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Lavked | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Oxuji Esports | 40c | 457.07$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.76 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oxuji Esports | 36c | 447.61$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.3 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf156…62b9backed Lavked | 65c | 343.9$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Lavked | 63c | 299.79$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0f…3cd7backed Oxuji Esports | 72c | 274.78$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Lavked | 72c | 250.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.49 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Oxuji Esports | 44c | 243.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Oxuji Esports | 33c | 219.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.96 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 66c | 218.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Lavked | 43c | 197.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 700 | 32%224 W · 476 L | -45.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked Oxuji Esports | 35c | 157.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…939ebacked Lavked | 27c | 147.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Oxuji Esports | 30c | 135.76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Oxuji Esports | 37c | 111.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Lavked | 24c | 108.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Oxuji Esports | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Oxuji Esports | 25c | 83.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.71 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Oxuji Esports | 63c | 77.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6641…ceb2backed Oxuji Esports | 65c | 75.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 75c | 74.57$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…997fbacked Lavked | 52c | 73.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…0978backed Oxuji Esports | 21c | 65.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +59%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Lavked | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 330 | 60.9%201 W · 129 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Lavked | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Lavked | 29c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Oxuji Esports | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Oxuji Esports | 34c | 36.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 229 | 38.4%88 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lavked | 67c | 31.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Oxuji Esports | 50c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4301…fd19backed Oxuji Esports | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Lavked | 74c | 23.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5b…4abbbacked Lavked | 71c | 23.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ae…f71ebacked Lavked | 63c | 22.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e5…08d4backed Oxuji Esports | 65c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Lavked | 67c | 21.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Lavked | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Lavked | 79c | 18.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…74f7backed Lavked | 76c | 18.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Lavked (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerOxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.