Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Krakow Women: Dalila Jakupovic vs Ariana Geerlings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e7ee5f72cc6a9bc2819db587fe160fae8fb63523811b911838b479343d1c603
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ariana Geerlingsof Dalila Jakupovic, Ariana Geerlings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Dalila Jakupovic | 19c | 1,400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.31 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Ariana Geerlings | 75c | 1,348$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.25 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Dalila Jakupovic | 25c | 1,317$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.33 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Dalila Jakupovic | 18c | 730$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Dalila Jakupovic | 29c | 345.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Ariana Geerlings | 71c | 325.4$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.37 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Dalila Jakupovic | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 232.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Dalila Jakupovic | 16c | 199.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ariana Geerlings | 77c | 189.6$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Ariana Geerlings | 74c | 187.15$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 140.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 139.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Dalila Jakupovic | 26c | 131.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 123.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Ariana Geerlings | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 303 | 53.5%162 W · 141 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dalila Jakupovic | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Dalila Jakupovic | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Dalila Jakupovic | 17c | 66.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Ariana Geerlings | 78c | 63.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Dalila Jakupovic | 19c | 61.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Ariana Geerlings | 75c | 46.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 87 | 77%67 W · 20 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Ariana Geerlings | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Ariana Geerlings | 72c | 22.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.