Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e970593895dfa65ad98641ac3a896da6724b227652810d9bf7dcc86236765c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof North Texas Mean Green, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe588…7658backed North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 12,700$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 2,444$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 2,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.3 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed North Texas Mean Green | 20c | 1,265$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.91 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 1,225$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 1,012$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.16 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 940$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed North Texas Mean Green | 16c | 721.58$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed North Texas Mean Green | 13c | 489$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 389.88$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 222.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed North Texas Mean Green | 18c | 222.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked North Texas Mean Green | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Texas Mean Green | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed North Texas Mean Green | 14c | 85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 80c | 74.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked North Texas Mean Green | 26c | 64.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 61c | 62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…3cfcbacked North Texas Mean Green | 21c | 47.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed North Texas Mean Green | 39c | 47.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 76c | 28.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanethis page
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 141.5Over won
- North Texas Mean Green vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.