CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ebf5e3c2f354750812239818accdad3ba7ed02b5a4660c927823831da59eb20
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oxuji Esportsof Infinite, Oxuji Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed Infinite | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Oxuji Esports | 45c | 476.74$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.21 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 54c | 197.49$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Infinite | 52c | 155.48$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.31 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Oxuji Esports | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.4 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Infinite | 44c | 130$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Oxuji Esports | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.62 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Infinite | 47c | 98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Infinite | 49c | 42.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Infinite | 51c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Infinite | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Infinite | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Infinite | 53c | 28.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Oxuji Esports | 47c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Infinite | 55c | 18.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 217 | 55.8%121 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 PlayoffsInfinite won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 WinnerInfinite won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5)Oxuji Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.