Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ecb35ac39b770dd8b12a4568e173293e3a9c6608b4f1237fea17a34e6c76197
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 6,656$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 3,328$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.12 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 0c | 2,843$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 17.6%25 W · 117 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 25c | 2,054$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,305$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 24c | 776.97$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes | 26c | 773.07$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 76c | 410.53$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 400.36$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f76…fb8abacked Yes | 26c | 214.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 22c | 157.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 16c | 129.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 76c | 122.34$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 11c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…22f5backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…01fdbacked Yes | 26c | 69.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw?this page
- Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25?Yes won
- Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.