CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f67cff33b6ed65448ca3e28ee3cbafb14d907bde01b6c22a120b910d9185f36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Bebop | 15c | 845.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bebop | 20c | 642.29$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.76 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Bebop | 18c | 570.48$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked BIG | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 18c | 475.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Bebop | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Bebop | 18c | 242.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Bebop | 20c | 241.89$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 12c | 213.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 77c | 131.36$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 17c | 121.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 75c | 118.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bebop | 12c | 98.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Bebop | 18c | 95.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Bebop | 22c | 89.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BIG | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bebop | 24c | 68.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bebop | 20c | 58.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BIG | 77c | 56.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed BIG | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed BIG | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.