CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2433364998b50fe286aaf8781a45ae95fe58c08a50bb62e10f66f2752143f860
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof BIG, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7857…bab6backed Bebop | 31c | 2,820$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.92 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…40cebacked BIG | 57c | 2,023$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.7 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Bebop | 56c | 1,766$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.91 | 198 | 29.3%58 W · 140 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BIG | 60c | 1,686$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 46c | 1,650$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.65 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Bebop | 46c | 1,642$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.53 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 47c | 1,608$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.3 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Bebop | 51c | 1,092$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.12 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BIG | 35c | 1,039$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed BIG | 60c | 926.76$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.27 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Bebop | 53c | 792.5$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.47 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed BIG | 68c | 721.05$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.87 | 429 | 60.8%261 W · 168 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked BIG | 70c | 705.96$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.85 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked BIG | 54c | 477.66$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.94 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed BIG | 47c | 431.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 2,484 | 24.7%613 W · 1,871 L | -318.7wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Bebop | 46c | 429.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.07 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Bebop | 46c | 420.7$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.18 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked BIG | 71c | 413.63$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.83 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 52c | 375.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Bebop | 34c | 372.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.37 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…22b6backed Bebop | 77c | 362.5$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked BIG | 56c | 328.61$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed BIG | 54c | 312.23$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 2,120 | 41.9%889 W · 1,231 L | -47.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked BIG | 67c | 291.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.07 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Bebop | 80c | 289.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb3…2ab3backed BIG | 70c | 279.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed BIG | 63c | 267$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.96 | 2,472 | 44.5%1,101 W · 1,371 L | -68.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed BIG | 15c | 257.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1,335 | 44%588 W · 747 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG | 43c | 246.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Bebop | 49c | 246.3$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Bebop | 47c | 235.63$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 1,126 | 54.4%613 W · 513 L | +38.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Bebop | 35c | 227.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.42 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a5…26a1backed BIG | 58c | 206.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 40c | 201.79$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.88 | 2,606 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,235 L | +96.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BIG | 65c | 200.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BIG | 46c | 190.2$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.08 | 1,550 | 33.9%525 W · 1,025 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed BIG | 70c | 187.72$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bebop | 72c | 161.96$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked BIG | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Bebop | 30c | 130.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.16 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BIG | 51c | 128.36$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Bebop | 47c | 125.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 65c | 122.38$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 5,651 | 47.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L | +46.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Bebop | 46c | 120.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed BIG | 77c | 114.54$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bebop | 23c | 114.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 5,137 | 55%2,826 W · 2,311 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461c…f74bbacked Bebop | 45c | 107.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked BIG | 52c | 101.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked BIG | 52c | 97.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Bebop | 46c | 88.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 696 | 71.7%499 W · 197 L | +120.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BIG | 50c | 86.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Bebop | 37c | 72.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Bebop | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…f839backed BIG | 55c | 70.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bebop | 43c | 65.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Bebop | 30c | 64.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 36c | 62.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked BIG | 59c | 61.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.09 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…d447backed BIG | 43c | 60.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Bebop | 44c | 56.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce5…9e1bbacked BIG | 39c | 53.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed BIG | 57c | 52.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed BIG | 69c | 50.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed BIG | 34c | 50.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed BIG | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 200 | 45.5%91 W · 109 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 61c | 49.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…8b41backed BIG | 64c | 45.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Bebop | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4af0…7696backed BIG | 50c | 39.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked BIG | 40c | 38.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Bebop | 48c | 34.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb97c…6f44backed BIG | 50c | 33.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked BIG | 64c | 32.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…dc6bbacked BIG | 63c | 29.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…88c9backed BIG | 76c | 25.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Bebop | 66c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 PlayoffsBIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Bebop - Map 2 WinnerBIG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs Bebop (+1.5)Bebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.