Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fc2cb0d154dc1b9e9bec1a067cc0f3712f6c999e25fe0b71630f2a44a94d0bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 29c | 1,207$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 29c | 1,039$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.11 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 30c | 999.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.8 | 531 | 34.5%183 W · 348 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 857$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.53 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 822.49$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 71c | 461.05$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.7 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 256.32$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 250.39$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 41c | 242.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 159.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.55 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…27c2backed No | 72c | 93.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 82.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 70c | 24.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 255 | 44.7%114 W · 141 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 65c | 23.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 73c | 16.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 253 | 48.2%122 W · 131 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-02-24?Yes won
- Will Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.