CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ff8bcc4969be55b760a070f2637620ee6be49ab0e1493a717c198a80a03b14e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8541…a367backed NIP | 49c | 1,666$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.39 | 283 | 44.2%125 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…ac38backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,606$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.14 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,520$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.6 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked 100 Thieves | 52c | 1,222$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.56 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed NIP | 50c | 899.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked NIP | 58c | 699.98$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.99 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 648.08$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.39 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed NIP | 69c | 537.08$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16d8…ba9ebacked NIP | 77c | 481.26$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 417.02$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.08 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 392.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.57 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 328.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.05 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c6…e59abacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 325.82$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 301.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.92 | 454 | 50.2%228 W · 226 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed NIP | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 49c | 296.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.24 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 295$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.8 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed NIP | 16c | 293.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.26 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked NIP | 52c | 291.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.79 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked NIP | 48c | 287.06$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.13 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 285.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.78 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked NIP | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NIP | 49c | 224.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked NIP | 49c | 204.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed NIP | 49c | 204.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed NIP | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked NIP | 64c | 200$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 190.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4723…5687backed 100 Thieves | 59c | 170.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 162.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed NIP | 66c | 158.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.63 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 154.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked NIP | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked 100 Thieves | 56c | 140.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed NIP | 53c | 139.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 180 | 61.7%111 W · 69 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 137.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…360bbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 131.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed NIP | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed NIP | 55c | 122.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed NIP | 38c | 114.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed NIP | 62c | 108.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed NIP | 47c | 106.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…41ebbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 106$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked NIP | 36c | 103.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…8763backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 225 | 51.1%115 W · 110 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked 100 Thieves | 20c | 99.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked NIP | 48c | 94.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b5…539abacked NIP | 52c | 86.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed NIP | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked NIP | 49c | 77.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c0…37abbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 77.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed NIP | 50c | 75.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 73.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked NIP | 74c | 71.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.27 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…734bbacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 70.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…8e71backed NIP | 71c | 68.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 56.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 51 | 78.4%40 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked 100 Thieves | 68c | 52.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed NIP | 62c | 52.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd503…fdcabacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 51.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked 100 Thieves | 76c | 51.26$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…645bbacked 100 Thieves | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…456fbacked NIP | 76c | 49.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 125 | 68.8%86 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed NIP | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed 100 Thieves | 41c | 46.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…f83abacked NIP | 66c | 42.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d732backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 41.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed NIP | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed NIP | 60c | 38.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 100 Thieves | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed NIP | 50c | 35.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed NIP | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…43c1backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked NIP | 49c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b2…36f6backed NIP | 61c | 29.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…a14abacked NIP | 70c | 24.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ef…b8a5backed NIP | 48c | 23.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked NIP | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd000…257fbacked NIP | 66c | 22.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed NIP | 59c | 21.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…6fadbacked NIP | 72c | 19.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 17.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…90f1backed NIP | 71c | 14.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.