CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50056361482921fdb563ff96d02f3f8e362609c13f420b7720d4187712619452
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,646
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,646 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 0c | 50,987$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf59…785ebacked Over | 47c | 14,410$6,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,637.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf408…c348backed Under | 53c | 14,408$7,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 2c | 4,652$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 0c | 4,530$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Under | 45c | 2,271$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.03 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 1,980$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.06 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 35c | 1,369$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.99 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Over | 53c | 1,231$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.77 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 25c | 1,180$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 41c | 1,165$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.22 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf516…79a0backed Over | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 51c | 937.01$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Under | 1c | 919.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 39c | 748.25$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.12 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Over | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 64c | 499.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 41c | 440.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.57 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 65c | 296.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Under | 52c | 266.46$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…d21abacked Over | 57c | 213.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa50…dc15backed Over | 50c | 212$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 210.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.15 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 47c | 204.02$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 51c | 202.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323f…370ebacked Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…13e4backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3488…54c2backed Over | 59c | 199.3$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 187.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 24c | 179.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Under | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Over | 68c | 146.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Under | 37c | 145.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 68c | 117.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa085…7fccbacked Over | 49c | 112.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23d…9d38backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0293…f15bbacked Over | 67c | 89.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 31c | 80.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…764fbacked Under | 42c | 70.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 35c | 54.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 53.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Over | 52c | 51.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 67c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Over | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…0c26backed Under | 52c | 39.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…151cbacked Under | 52c | 37.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Under | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…b7abbacked Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…9f19backed Over | 49c | 30.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Over | 64c | 15.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ATYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
- Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.