CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5047db113620595d8732ff7bb0952ab7a4a3aa6ab8d587728b031335885012bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Imperial | 44c | 4,768$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.21 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Galorys | 55c | 1,366$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.3 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Galorys | 57c | 586.39$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.85 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Galorys | 57c | 552.18$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.12 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Galorys | 57c | 453.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.29 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Imperial | 50c | 438.33$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.52 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Galorys | 57c | 382.32$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.92 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Galorys | 55c | 265.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Galorys | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8562…0a61backed Galorys | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Galorys | 56c | 230$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Galorys | 55c | 215$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.25 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11e…3bc1backed Galorys | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Galorys | 54c | 176.55$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…b9a4backed Galorys | 55c | 164.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Imperial | 45c | 61.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 317 | 31.9%101 W · 216 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Imperial | 46c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Galorys | 57c | 51.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Galorys | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Galorys | 56c | 32.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Imperial | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.