CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a4eb061aae0ee9c42ebc9cf8f5537274448d10ccf4744ea7107742f6d26fe1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Galorys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,640
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,640 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed Imperial | 64c | 3,976$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420.39 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Galorys | 32c | 1,358$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.39 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Imperial | 71c | 1,018$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.27 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -32.6wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Galorys | 33c | 812.17$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.69 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Imperial | 63c | 687.88$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked Imperial | 66c | 638.46$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…4d14backed Imperial | 70c | 486.53$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galorys | 34c | 453.48$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.79 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galorys | 31c | 450$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.5 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Imperial | 67c | 422.37$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galorys | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Galorys | 31c | 357.08$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galorys | 51c | 345.43$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galorys | 30c | 317.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galorys | 48c | 314.02$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Galorys | 33c | 307.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Galorys | 31c | 254.53$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Galorys | 33c | 192.05$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Galorys | 35c | 158.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Imperial | 50c | 145$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Galorys | 38c | 124.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Galorys | 22c | 112$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Galorys | 36c | 108.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galorys | 32c | 107.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Galorys | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Galorys | 55c | 95.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Galorys | 21c | 76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Galorys | 41c | 65.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Galorys | 26c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Galorys | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Galorys | 54c | 53.75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Galorys | 31c | 40.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Galorys | 31c | 39.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Imperial | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Imperial | 65c | 30.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Imperial | 55c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Galorys | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Imperial | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Galorys - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.