Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebels (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50617cce332ec27ebb36f64b3d9c2ade6b3c4d5b3ca852e8afcefc0c22bc1abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LSU Tigersof LSU Tigers, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Ole Miss Rebels | 25c | 932.39$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.99 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 27c | 659.86$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.36 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked LSU Tigers | 71c | 631.74$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.24 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LSU Tigers | 77c | 622.67$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed LSU Tigers | 73c | 336.23$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.38 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed LSU Tigers | 70c | 331$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1a…89e5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 43c | 273.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed LSU Tigers | 58c | 239.23$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 26c | 214.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Ole Miss Rebels | 23c | 179.26$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde3b…a096backed Ole Miss Rebels | 20c | 122.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed LSU Tigers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed LSU Tigers | 73c | 67.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 38c | 52.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed LSU Tigers | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed LSU Tigers | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2995…f5bbbacked LSU Tigers | 75c | 41.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed LSU Tigers | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.