Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Oldenzaal (Netherlands), clay: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Beatrise Zeltina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x506c89ae199e8f9af43d393442f5c5ef4f13efb230da47bcdec3cdb686457829
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beatrise Zeltinaof Carlota Martinez Cirez, Beatrise Zeltina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 74c | 607.99$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.87 | 487 | 56.5%275 W · 212 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Beatrise Zeltina | 37c | 503.59$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Beatrise Zeltina | 32c | 501.62$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.2 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 62c | 360.07$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 254 | 51.6%131 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 68c | 118.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 40c | 92.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Beatrise Zeltina | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Beatrise Zeltina | 21c | 75.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 392 | 57.7%226 W · 166 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Beatrise Zeltina | 33c | 58.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 79c | 52.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Beatrise Zeltina | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 897 | 41.7%374 W · 523 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 63c | 39.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…c395backed Beatrise Zeltina | 56c | 35.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d2…99a6backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 69c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Carlota Martinez Cirez | 59c | 32.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 34c | 32.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…ba95backed Carlota Martinez Cirez | 70c | 18.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.