Tennis · resolved market
Baton Rouge: Cannon Kingsley vs Andre Ilagan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5128cccdebfc479ad561ec2477c0999e84a036caa318574d5a6e50c422da7458
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilaganof Kingsley, Ilagan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21aa…d590backed Kingsley | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kingsley | 35c | 5,351$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.56 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ilagan | 68c | 5,174$3,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Ilagan | 66c | 1,805$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kingsley | 26c | 653.33$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Kingsley | 34c | 461.37$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…7379backed Kingsley | 4c | 329.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Kingsley | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kingsley | 31c | 159.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kingsley | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Kingsley | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ilagan | 66c | 142.65$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Ilagan | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Kingsley | 51c | 63.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8650…58fdbacked Ilagan | 65c | 58.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed Kingsley | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 178 | 63.5%113 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29b…b518backed Ilagan | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Kingsley | 34c | 36.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Ilagan | 59c | 33.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Kingsley | 59c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kingsley | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Kingsley | 47c | 30.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.