Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x512c9d02304ee9b2f72feba6ea167208d3b2f47800d03d72090f40455a87e858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 33c | 3,382$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,755$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.69 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4778…b5dbbacked Over | 62c | 1,606$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Under | 42c | 857.1$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.98 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 70c | 571.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 551.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 46c | 391.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 40c | 377.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.16 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.93 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 33c | 130.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 58c | 128$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 33c | 116.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 39c | 109.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 55c | 102.88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 53c | 56.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 43.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 59c | 33.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Under | 42c | 28.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…54d2backed Over | 68c | 25.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 62c | 25.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 66c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Hibernian FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Heart of Midlothian FC (-1.5)Hibernian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.