Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 555 vs Fancy United (BO3) - VCL Pacific: Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51377281463443e1bb65fd391655820b17584de0931211575cbcbd6eeb2cf1ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fancy Unitedof 555, Fancy United
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Fancy United | 43c | 268.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.08 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked 555 | 50c | 216.58$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.94 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed 555 | 73c | 190.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.29 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Fancy United | 39c | 175.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.87 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…78e2backed Fancy United | 77c | 136$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked 555 | 59c | 109.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed 555 | 24c | 103.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked 555 | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked 555 | 32c | 71.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked 555 | 52c | 57.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked 555 | 71c | 49.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…2b6cbacked Fancy United | 60c | 46.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 555 | 27c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f9…6400backed 555 | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Fancy United | 44c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…b3f3backed 555 | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…2968backed Fancy United | 75c | 26.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.