La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51a13c750650a7892e7ff5066d4a7cf222af5137dfbd2d0dc98084df072b32c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…b8f7backed Yes | 24c | 10,341$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,882.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 7,054$5,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.33 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,685$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.5 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 1,710$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.18 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 7c | 1,040$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 25c | 791.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.28 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Yes | 25c | 568.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…0244backed Yes | 23c | 521.74$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 17c | 444.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.99 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 370.94$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 285$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.59 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes | 22c | 221.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.05 | 216 | 26.9%58 W · 158 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed No | 76c | 207.75$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 77c | 150.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.72 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 25c | 128.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.56 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed Yes | 75c | 113.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 26c | 105$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 78c | 92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…c966backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 77c | 75.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.34 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 78c | 68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 78c | 58$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 25c | 55.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked No | 74c | 50.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…9f8dbacked Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 23c | 44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd0…4938backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 77c | 15.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.