La Liga · resolved market
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71a753761375d2b1e07c32642a5f06e82d7c353eb2ef8017f7ed62b7801b4c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,079.96 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 7,945$4,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.83 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.94 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 48c | 3,518$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.44 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 52c | 3,429$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.12 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Yes | 49c | 2,462$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.38 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 49c | 1,000$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.61 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 49c | 895$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.45 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 779.3$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 49c | 504.34$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.16 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 375.11$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.68 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed No | 49c | 315.07$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Yes | 49c | 240$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 49c | 237.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.37 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 216.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 50c | 199.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 39c | 186.71$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 49c | 153.24$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.15 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 121.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed No | 49c | 105.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.83 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked No | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 49c | 69.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 49c | 62.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked No | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 52c | 47.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 62cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-01-24?this page
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-01-24?Yes won
- Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.