CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51f036e7075528f7e470361f655f0a695fb3da928f3c22cc3c5dc536decee0d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof FlyQuest, Ground Zero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,570
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Ground Zero | 19c | 4,060$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.02 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Ground Zero | 10c | 1,610$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…9d25backed Ground Zero | 19c | 1,341$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Ground Zero | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ground Zero | 17c | 865.95$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Ground Zero | 13c | 699.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0c13backed Ground Zero | 15c | 653.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Ground Zero | 12c | 644.32$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Ground Zero | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Ground Zero | 12c | 555.59$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Ground Zero | 17c | 508.06$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…47edbacked Ground Zero | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Ground Zero | 17c | 385.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Ground Zero | 13c | 385$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed Ground Zero | 14c | 350.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Ground Zero | 17c | 328.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed FlyQuest | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8731…2c12backed Ground Zero | 12c | 295.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Ground Zero | 19c | 233.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Ground Zero | 18c | 223.61$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Ground Zero | 12c | 191.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Ground Zero | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…fb15backed Ground Zero | 13c | 166.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 197 | 48.7%96 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…1481backed Ground Zero | 12c | 141.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Ground Zero | 16c | 125.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Ground Zero | 19c | 121.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Ground Zero | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Ground Zero | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Ground Zero | 16c | 76.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs Ground Zero (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Ground Zero - Map 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Ground Zero - Map 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.