TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Indiana vs. Oregon

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oregonof Indiana, Oregon
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,322
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,322 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Oregon72c976.58$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.2953057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Indiana28c487$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.361,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9918…bfc6backed Indiana30c311$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72e2…5fe7backed Indiana27c209$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.43633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3b1…2509backed Oregon70c208$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8614…69b6backed Oregon73c149$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.23366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab0d…9572backed Indiana61c141$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb094…ab6abacked Oregon39c141$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x467b…66ecbacked Indiana58c107$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3363…77aebacked Oregon73c101$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.27560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a19bbacked Indiana29c88.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0b…e7fdbacked Oregon70c86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbb…c1a7backed Oregon42c85$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+119%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460f…8d1cbacked Indiana33c83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.39944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…8900backed Oregon42c80$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+79.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4790…37f3backed Oregon68c74$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x246f…1c93backed Indiana31c71$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.01540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacfb…b664backed Indiana32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4268…198cbacked Oregon69c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.152100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+133.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x962b…105fbacked Indiana32c64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2fb…f8f1backed Oregon63c62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d95…6dd1backed Indiana58c58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8a…c344backed Indiana27c57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8de2…7d11backed Indiana27c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2558…e546backed Indiana31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c7…b2f7backed Indiana32c56$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…794fbacked Indiana27c55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3019…b55dbacked Indiana26c54$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde2…952dbacked Indiana26c52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…7b77backed Indiana31c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d0…b1fdbacked Indiana27c51$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b2a…20afbacked Indiana26c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…92fdbacked Indiana31c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0846…618bbacked Indiana34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.32333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…d33ebacked Indiana37c48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefe6…94d9backed Indiana37c47$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9173…dac3backed Indiana32c47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0430%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c20…e9ffbacked Indiana37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc96d…6df0backed Indiana34c46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f78…bc4ebacked Indiana27c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58be…5921backed Indiana37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf791…bd2dbacked Indiana37c46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb62…6dd0backed Oregon73c45$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf01…7973backed Oregon68c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8883…5e83backed Indiana31c43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2e1…2df9backed Oregon73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d02…56d3backed Oregon42c41$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4865…6ee9backed Oregon67c39$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00bc…4198backed Oregon63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cf…5eeabacked Oregon42c39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x874c…626fbacked Oregon42c37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3da…5b23backed Oregon39c37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+94.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bfa…e8edbacked Oregon69c32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…5497backed Oregon71c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa35…8953backed Indiana58c29$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3986…b83cbacked Oregon63c28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6641…1b51backed Oregon68c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5641…9ea5backed Indiana61c28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741d…c6b1backed Oregon42c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.24250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f6…4ca3backed Oregon69c28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.68475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a96…20fbbacked Indiana37c28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2089…184abacked Indiana58c27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2597…7bdebacked Oregon68c27$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fc…ea83backed Oregon63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3b6…20d0backed Oregon63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x290a…6902backed Oregon63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd377…bdcbbacked Oregon63c27$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.993100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa076…6962backed Indiana58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd086…b3b3backed Indiana58c26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcee1…700cbacked Indiana61c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3783…09ccbacked Oregon73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc37…0f02backed Indiana58c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03cf…dedebacked Oregon69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5640…833cbacked Oregon68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc013…ce0cbacked Oregon68c24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc595…3bbdbacked Oregon69c24$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…7bedbacked Oregon69c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8e…bc45backed Oregon67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd435…d61dbacked Oregon69c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97c4…2393backed Oregon73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe949…d255backed Oregon73c22$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+68.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe53…9eb1backed Oregon67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…4f9fbacked Oregon69c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f08…f1b1backed Oregon73c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6304…bcd9backed Oregon63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4eb…b076backed Oregon63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6af8…4de5backed Oregon69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3adb…290abacked Oregon73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdea5…68fdbacked Oregon73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.135100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x236a…ab9fbacked Oregon73c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+114.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ff…7795backed Oregon71c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.51450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Oregon71c18.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.479751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba86…305ebacked Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe92e…121fbacked Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafc8…93fcbacked Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4043…5246backed Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1b3…4cedbacked Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c59…1718backed Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.682100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cea…563bbacked Oregon74c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…52acbacked Oregon73c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.