Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51ff0b90d275cecb976eb5831941385b8475dbaecdcf04ac3166cd5d1ff4d545
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Any Questions Gaming, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,649 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed JD Gaming | 55c | 270.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Any Questions Gaming | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Any Questions Gaming | 44c | 243$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked JD Gaming | 68c | 194.63$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Any Questions Gaming | 60c | 127.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 122.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed JD Gaming | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 89.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked JD Gaming | 64c | 87.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed JD Gaming | 74c | 83.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…bf46backed Any Questions Gaming | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed JD Gaming | 62c | 78.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed JD Gaming | 64c | 70.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Any Questions Gaming | 16c | 64.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fc…a448backed Any Questions Gaming | 60c | 41.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 33c | 35.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…6d2fbacked Any Questions Gaming | 62c | 32.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked JD Gaming | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked JD Gaming | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Any Questions Gaming | 41c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 3 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.