Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2400a9a1027cf10ed9342800815c2019bd0754afac63c19fc0e6c938162b91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Any Questions Gaming, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,475 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked JD Gaming | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Any Questions Gaming | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Any Questions Gaming | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 25.5%26 W · 76 L | -10.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Any Questions Gaming | 38c | 254.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked JD Gaming | 69c | 240$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed JD Gaming | 60c | 221.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.51 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed JD Gaming | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 218 | 59.2%129 W · 89 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Any Questions Gaming | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked JD Gaming | 56c | 91.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming | 63c | 76.03$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6169…e0d2backed JD Gaming | 70c | 56.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ab…2c2fbacked JD Gaming | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd34…830cbacked Any Questions Gaming | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…4d91backed JD Gaming | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 1 PlayoffsJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Valorant: Any Questions Gaming vs JD Gaming - Map 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.