Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x520af7d59c14b1d29680040db59a9606ff6e8cf35adc672264fea19daff5969f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 51c | 140,998$71,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,773.53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 65,414$32,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,360.99 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 30,066$15,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,970.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Over | 48c | 24,254$11,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,612.09 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 49c | 8,758$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,425.62 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Over | 49c | 5,555$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,833.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 3,656$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,821.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 1,504$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 61c | 719.76$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.56 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 57c | 395.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 49c | 375.1$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.8 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 50c | 356.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.64 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Over | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 51c | 215.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Over | 51c | 189$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 48c | 111.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Over | 56c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed Under | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Over | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Over | 55c | 92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 52c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Under | 50c | 83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…c7f3backed Over | 52c | 77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…e417backed Under | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 47c | 62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 54c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Under | 49c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8357…557fbacked Under | 44c | 40.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a7…261bbacked Under | 49c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Over | 51c | 37.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Under | 45c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…551bbacked Under | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Over | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…aeb8backed Under | 49c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5192backed Under | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Under | 50c | 25.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…2f86backed Over | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6393…dde9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd925…3ab5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 169.5this page
- Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big RedColumbia Lions won
- Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 170.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 171.5Over won
- Columbia Lions vs. Cornell Big Red: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-1.5)Columbia Lions won
- Spread: Cornell Big Red (-3.5)Columbia Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.