Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Utah State Aggies (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x521fea6c5b181c15d2aa43dd9440d6849cb1ab424901537a47357843962f05a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado State Ramsof Utah State Aggies, Colorado State Rams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,476
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Colorado State Rams | 46c | 17,213$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.32 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah State Aggies | 54c | 11,211$6,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,066.41 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Utah State Aggies | 57c | 5,884$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.03 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Utah State Aggies | 53c | 4,009$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Colorado State Rams | 44c | 3,760$1,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.02 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah State Aggies | 52c | 1,499$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Utah State Aggies | 52c | 1,488$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 930.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.23 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 660$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Utah State Aggies | 52c | 520$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 405.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.86 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado State Rams | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Colorado State Rams | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 147.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 126.31$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…789fbacked Utah State Aggies | 53c | 122.64$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd725…81dabacked Utah State Aggies | 62c | 99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Colorado State Rams | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked Utah State Aggies | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b0…482cbacked Colorado State Rams | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Colorado State Rams | 43c | 76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Colorado State Rams | 46c | 54.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Colorado State Rams | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 43.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…cc89backed Utah State Aggies | 56c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Colorado State Rams | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Colorado State Rams | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Utah State Aggies | 54c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…4c2cbacked Utah State Aggies | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Utah State Aggies | 55c | 20.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Utah State Aggies (-4.5)this page
- Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State RamsUtah State Aggies won
- Utah State Aggies vs. Colorado State Rams: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.