CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5286bb2420f0d782b39e6e6fd3b61349ca13a2a3dd62cf641fb3e411ab47af12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, 5Actors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 72c | 3,406$2,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked 5Actors | 27c | 2,710$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.32 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Nemiga | 73c | 2,056$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.21 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked 5Actors | 30c | 1,803$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.81 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -8.1wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed 5Actors | 27c | 1,279$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.28 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked 5Actors | 29c | 1,015$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.85 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked 5Actors | 31c | 909.38$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.91 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 5Actors | 14c | 894.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 72c | 749.61$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.74 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 5Actors | 29c | 647.84$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed 5Actors | 31c | 590.56$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 5Actors | 12c | 395$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 5Actors | 10c | 272.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked 5Actors | 25c | 231.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nemiga | 69c | 228.95$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.97 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Nemiga | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked 5Actors | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b19…a47fbacked 5Actors | 12c | 157.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked 5Actors | 31c | 149.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed 5Actors | 12c | 148$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Nemiga | 79c | 125.53$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 5Actors | 18c | 116.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Nemiga | 70c | 102.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed 5Actors | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 5Actors | 12c | 96.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 5Actors | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed 5Actors | 31c | 88.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed 5Actors | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 394 | 40.4%159 W · 235 L | +30.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nemiga | 69c | 57.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Nemiga | 71c | 51.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.74 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Nemiga | 70c | 42.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…f490backed Nemiga | 73c | 40.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 74c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed 5Actors | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe33a…6df7backed Nemiga | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Nemiga | 71c | 23.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked Nemiga | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Nemiga | 67c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nemiga | 74c | 15.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs 5Actors - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.