Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5293e493f3a14dafa45541e9470914fd66b16db585fe6191b8595d78a63fed02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 71c | 1,111$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.1 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 28c | 706.74$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.59 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…7e2ebacked Under | 30c | 686.94$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc312…9955backed Under | 30c | 594.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Under | 30c | 419.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8177…be85backed Under | 30c | 203.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b9…0a0dbacked Over | 73c | 150.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Over | 74c | 135.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 117.16$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked Over | 73c | 115.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Under | 28c | 113$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 30c | 90.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Under | 28c | 89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 71c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…0d7cbacked Under | 30c | 46.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 70c | 44.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 71c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Over | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…218cbacked Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed Over | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Over | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked Over | 72c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…9b74backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…c985backed Over | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…2afcbacked Over | 71c | 17.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Over | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed Over | 73c | 15.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kilmarnock FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.