College Football · resolved market
Spread: Ole Miss (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x530be908fcfe544df7aa919d965513f8433449d79f4465ff868dfa402e28c8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Ole Miss, Florida Gators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.69 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Ole Miss | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida Gators | 51c | 420.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 405.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida Gators | 50c | 345.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.8 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…f782backed Ole Miss | 49c | 255.43$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.16 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Florida Gators | 50c | 205.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.57 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…e3f7backed Ole Miss | 50c | 191.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Ole Miss | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Ole Miss | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Ole Miss | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Ole Miss | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Florida Gators | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Ole Miss | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ac…a025backed Ole Miss | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9d…3ea9backed Ole Miss | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Florida Gators | 49c | 34.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…2103backed Ole Miss | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Ole Miss (-11.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Ole MissOle Miss won
- Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss: O/U 53.5Over won
- Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss: O/U 54.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-13.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-14.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-15.5)Florida Gators won
- Spread: Ole Miss (-16.5)Florida Gators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.